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By Ventura Research Team 4 min Read
April 2026 commodity market trends showing copper surge, oil decline, and gold silver performance
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Summary:

April has been an eventful month for commodity markets. From metals riding a wave of structural demand to energy prices pulling back on shifting geopolitical winds, here is a look at what has been moving and why.

Copper Surges Nearly 9%

Copper has been the standout performer this month, gaining close to 9% on the back of both near-term supply shocks and longer-term demand fundamentals. The metal opened at ₹1,169.80 and is trading nearly ₹1,265 as of April 17, 2026.

The important factor was China's decision to ban sulphuric acid exports starting May. This matters more than it might initially seem. Sulphuric acid is a critical input in heap leaching, one of the primary methods used to extract copper from ore particularly in major producing regions like Chile and the Democratic Republic of Congo. China is the world's largest producer of sulphuric acid as a by-product of copper and zinc smelting, so its exit from the export market has created a decline in global availability.

Adding to that, shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz have faced constraints, further limiting sulphur movement across regions. Beyond the near-term disruption, copper has solid structural support. Demand from power grids, electric vehicles, data centres, construction, and industrial activity continues to grow steadily. On the supply side, developing new copper mines takes years and requires significant capital, so the pipeline of new production is limited. 

Crude Oil Decline Nearly 10%

Crude oil saw one of the steepest single-month drops, falling around 9.6% from an open of ₹9,675 to now trade nearly ₹8,680 as of April 17, 2026.

The primary cause was geopolitical de-escalation. Oil had surged past the $110 per barrel mark on fears of a broader US-Iran conflict and the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz which is a key passage for global oil trade. When a ceasefire was announced and Iran agreed to permit safe passage through the strait, the prices of crude oil reacted in a negative way.

Reports of productive diplomatic talks and a halt to planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure significantly reduced the risk premium that had been built into prices. Also profit-taking added further downward momentum

Silver Climbs Nearly 4%

Silver followed a similar trajectory to gold this month, rising around 3.76% from an open of ₹2,39,257 to trade nearly ₹2,50,000 as of April 17, 2026.

The key driver has been a weaker US dollar, which is near its lowest level in six weeks. A softer dollar typically makes metals priced in dollars more attractive to buyers using other currencies. Alongside that, benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields dipped by around 0.1%, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver and gold.

Growing optimism around a possible US-Iran peace deal added further momentum. Reports of diplomatic engagement  including a Pakistani mediator visiting Tehran reduced fears of a prolonged energy supply disruption. Lower energy price risk, in turn, brought down long-term inflation expectations, which pushed bond yields lower and supported metals prices.

Silver had been under pressure earlier when oil markets surged on fears of a wider Middle East conflict, raising inflation concerns and keeping rate expectations elevated. April's diplomatic developments reversed a portion of that pressure.

Gold Gains Nearly 2%

Gold posted a more modest gain of around 1.46%, rising from ₹1,51,427 to trade nearly ₹1,53,000 as of April 17, 2026. The drivers were largely the same as silver: dollar weakness, lower Treasury yields, and improved risk sentiment stemming from US-Iran peace talks.

Gold had fallen more than 8% since the conflict began in late February, as markets feared sustained high oil prices would keep inflation elevated and delay interest rate cuts. With that fear receding somewhat, gold recovered ground. The metal continues to serve as a broad hedge against inflation and currency weakness, and any fresh uncertainty in either direction tends to bring it back into focus.

Natural Gas Down Nearly 10%

Natural gas was among the biggest decliners in April, falling close to 9.7% from an open of ₹273 to trade nearly ₹249 as of April 17, 2026.

The core reason is seasonal. As winter winds down, markets begin pricing in lower heating demand even before temperatures fully stabilise. Markets don't wait for demand to actually fall; they anticipate it. The "winter premium" in gas prices evaporates quickly once the seasonal narrative flips.

Storage levels have made the decline sharper. When inventories are being replenished at a healthy pace and there is no real threat of shortage, the urgency that supports higher prices simply disappears. Natural gas is also known for volatile price behaviour; rallies tend to be slow and drawn out, while corrections are sharp and fast. Storage buffers dampen upside moves but accelerate downside ones.

Conclusion:

April 2026 was definitely a case in point of how fast market dynamics for commodity prices can be affected by the interaction between long- and short-term forces. In this regard, copper was notable for posting solid price increases on account of disruptions in production and sustained growth in demand for copper due to the process of electrification and infrastructure. At the same time, precious metals such as silver and gold posted gains based on weakening in the dollar and bond yield rates, although the move was moderate considering improved geopolitical sentiments. Meanwhile, energy-related commodities saw lower price performance since crude oil and natural gas experienced sharp drops owing to reduced geopolitical risks and seasonality.

References:

https://www.cnbc.com/markets/bonds/

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/why-are-gold-and-silver-prices-up-and-will-precious-metals-continue-to-rise-or-fall-again-shortly-analysts-insights-market-outlook-and-what-should-investors-do-now/articleshow/130255557.cms?from=mdr

https://www.vtmarkets.com/in/featured/why-natural-gas-is-falling-the-story-the-market-is-pricing-in/

https://theprospectornews.com/silver-and-copper-prices-set-to-surge-as-chinas-sulfuric-acid-ban-disrupts-global-supply-chains/

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